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.Articles
Economic Measurement Lost in a Random Forest?:  A Case Study of Employment Data. Forthcoming, American Economic Association, Papers and Proceedings. with Eric English, Kyle Hood, Lowell Mason, and Brian Quistorff

The Geography of Consumption and Local Economic Shocks: The Case of the Great Recession. Forthcoming, American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics. with Mahsa Gholizadeh 
​     Supplementary data files


​Consumption Zones. Journal of Economic Geography. 2024 with Andrea Batch, Ben Bridgman, and Mahsa Gholizadeh
       Supplementary data files

A Denial a Day Keeps the Doctor Away​
Quarterly Journal of Economics. 2024. with Josh Gottlieb, Adam Shapiro, Daniel Sonnenstuhl and Pietro Tebaldi
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Consequences of a Shortage and Rationing: Evidence from a Pediatric Vaccine.  Journal of Health Economics. Vol 92. 2023. with Eli Liebman, Emily Lawler, and David Ridley

A Direct Measure of Medical Innovation on Health Care Spending: A Condition-Specific Approach.  Health Management, Policy and Innovation. 2023. with Lasanthi Fernando, and Eli Liebman

A Systematic Examination of Quality-adjusted Price Index Alternatives for Medical Care Using Claims Data. Journal of Health Economics. Vol 90. 2022. with Anne Hall and Seidu Dauda

Health Care Spending Effectiveness: Estimates Suggest That Spending Improved US Health From 1996 To 2016. Health Affairs. July 2022. with MR Weaver , J Joffe, M Ciarametaro, R Dubois, A Singh, GW Sparks, L Stafford, CJL Murray, and J Dieleman. 

Are Medical Care Prices Still Declining? A Re-examination Based on Cost-Effectiveness Studies.
Econometrica. Vol 90. 2022. with Anne Hall and Seidu Dauda

Insurance Expansions and Hospital Utilization: Relabeling and Reabling? Journal of Health Economics. 2021: 102482. with Matthew Knepper and Seidu Dauda 

Measuring Consumer Spending Using Card Transaction Data: Lessons from the COVID-19 Pandemic. AEA Papers and Proceedings. Vol. 111. 2021. with Kyle Hood, Andrea Batch, and Alex Driessen

 Administration above Administrators: The Changing Technology of Health Care Management. 
AEA Papers and Proceedings. Vol. 110. 2020. with Joshua D. Gottlieb, and Adam Hale Shapiro

US Health Care Spending by Payer and Health Condition, 1996-2016. 
Journal of the American Medical Association. 323.9. 2020. with Joseph L. Dieleman, et al.
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Measuring the Gross Domestic Product (GDP): The Ultimate Data Science Project. Harvard Data Science Review 2.1. 2020.  with Brian Moyer

Productivity Growth in Treating a Major Chronic Health Condition. mimeo, Brookings Institution, 2020. with John Romley, Dana Goldman, and Neeraj Sood

Does Medicare Part D Save Lives?  
American Journal of Health Economics Winter. 2019. with Adam Hale Shapiro 


A Practical Guide to Episode Groupers for Cost-of-illness Analysis in Health Services Research. SAGE open medicine 7. 2019.  with Cora Peterson and Scott D. Grosse
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The Complexity of Billing and Paying for Physician Care
Health Affairs. 2018. with Joshua Gottlieb and Adam Hale Shapiro ​

Physician Competition and the Provision of Care: Evidence from Heart Attacks 
American Journal of Health Economics. 2018. with Adam Hale Shapiro

High Spending Growth Rates For Key Diseases In 2000–14 Were Driven By Technology And Demographic Factors
Health Affairs. 2018.  with Bryn Whitmire, Andrea Batch, Lasanthi Fernando and Lindsey Rittmueller

Adjusting Health Expenditures for Inflation: A Review of Measures for Health Services Research in the United States
Health Services Research. 2016. with Scott Grosse and Samuel Zuvekas

Health Insurance and the Demand for Medical Care: Instrumental Variable Estimates Using Health Insurer Claims Data 
Journal of Health Economics. 2014.

Implications of Utilization Shifts on Medical-Care Price Measurement

Health Economics. 2015. with Eli Liebman and Adam Shapiro 

Geographic Variation in Commercial Medical-Care Expenditures: A Framework for Decomposing Price and Utilization
Journal of Health Economics. 2013. with Adam Hale Shapiro and Eli Liebman

Drug Innovations and Welfare Measures Computed from Market Demand: The Case of Anti-Cholesterol Drugs
 American Economic Journal: Applied Economics. 2012.

Medical Care Price Indexes for Patients with Employer-Provided Insurance: Nationally-Representative Estimates from MarketScan Data
Health Services Research. 2012.  with Eli Liebman, Sarah J. Pack and 
Adam Hale Shapiro 

The Value of Coverage in the Medicare Advantage Insurance Market
Journal of Health Economics. 2010.

Do Low-Quality Products Affect High-quality Entry? Multiproduct Firms and Nonstop Entry in Airline Markets
International Journal of Industrial Organization. 2008.

Book Chapters
Decomposing Medical-Care Expenditure Growth
Measuring and Modeling Health Care Costs. 2018, NBER Volume, ed. by Ana Aizcorbe, Colin Baker, Ernst Berndt, and David Cutler. University of Chicago. with Eli Liebman and Adam Hale Shapiro

Developing a Framework for Decomposing Medical-Care Expenditure Growth: Exploring Issues of Representativeness   Measuring Economic Sustainability and Progress. 2014.  NBER Book Series Studies in Income  and Wealth. Dale Jorgenson, Steven Landefeld, and Paul Schreyer, eds.  with Adam Hale Shapiro and Eli Liebman


Off to the Races: A Comparison of Machine Learning and Alternative Data for Predicting Economic Indicators Big Data for Twenty-First Century Economic Statistics. 2020.  NBER Book Chapter. University of Chicago Press.  with Jeff Chen, Kyle Hood, Alexander Driessen and Andrea Batch
 
Quantifying Productivity Growth in Health Care Using Insurance Claims and Administrative Data

Big Data for Twenty-First Century Economic Statistics Working Paper. 2020. NBER Book Chapter. University of Chicago Press.  with John Romley, Dana Goldman and Neeraj Sood

​Other Research

Measuring the Effects of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Consumer Spending using Card Transaction Data. US Bureau of Economic Analysis Working Paper WP2020-5 (2020). with Kyle Hood, and Alexander Driessen. 

Spending by Condition for the Long-Term Care Population Using Medicaid Claims. BEA Working Paper. 2020. with Peter Shieh, Lasanthi Fernando, and Charles Roehrig

Physician Market Power and Medical-Care Expenditures
Working Paper. 2012. with Adam Hale Shapiro

The Effect of Health Insurance Competition when Private Insurers Compete with a Public Option
Draft. 2011

Blogs
Medical Expenditures Are Likely “Worth It.” But Can We Measure How Much They Are Worth?
Health Affairs. 2019. with Lasanthi Fernando










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